Apakah Apple akan melewati Nokia di tahun 2013?

Beberapa tulisan media barat menampilkan prediksi seperti judul tulisan ini. Berikut kutipannya:

Apple's share of the smartphone market is growing quickly enough that it could overtake Nokia's in as little as four years, according to data from Generator Research. The analyst group sees the market almost reversing itself from its situation today and believes Nokia will tumble from about 40 percent share today to just 20 percent in 2013. iPhones, meanwhile, should accelerate and hit 33 percent of the market at the same point. Apple would match Nokia's share sometime in 2011 and ship as many as 77 million phones that year.

Saya masih belum percaya analisa seperti itu. Kita lihat saja saat pada kuartal kedua tahun 2010 nanti, dimana (katanya/kabarnya/gossipnya) akan keluar Nokia Communicator terbaru. Asalkan si Commie baru itu menggigit (anjing kali :-), tentu saja analisa seperti itu bisa kabur.